A desperate Biden Administration has pulled out a familiar old sabre to rattle against Moscow this week ahead of the US President’s crucial phone call with Vladimir Putin. All the fuss is supposedly over “Russian aggression” against Ukraine. At least that’s what the White House and the mainstream media are claiming.
It’s been almost 7 years since the US first issued threats to cut off Russia from SWIFT international payment clearing system. Marina Shagina at the Carnegie Moscow Center wrote about the prospects of a financial “nuclear option” earlier this year:
Calls to exclude Russia from SWIFT are not new. In August 2014, the UK appealed to European leaders to consider such an option. Alexei Kudrin, Russia’s former finance minister, then forecast that such a move could cause Russia’s GDP to shrink by 5 percent. Ultimately, the pressure campaign was dropped. Cutting Russia off from SWIFT was considered to be a major escalation, or, as then prime minister Dmitry Medvedev put it, tantamount to “a declaration of war.”
The question then remains: how well is Russia prepared to cope with a complete disconnection from Western payment systems? In truth, Russia and China have been preparing for this eventuality for years. However, it should be noted that US and European firms and institutions will lose massively if Washington tries to pull this final card, as US, UK and EU (namely German) banks are the most frequent users of the SWIFT system in their transactions with Russian banks.
Many are rightfully concerned that a weak Biden White House could become more dangerous now. How far will they go in trying shore-up collapsing poll numbers at home?
Zero Hedge reports…
CNN and others are reporting just a day ahead of the much anticipated video call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Joe Biden that the White House is mulling “nuclear option” level actions against Moscow should it launch a military offensive against Ukraine – which US intelligence has lately said could be imminent based on assessing that some 175,000 troops have been mustered in the Crimea and regions near Ukraine’s eastern border.
This includes discussion of the possibility of disconnecting Russia from the SWIFT international payment system, seen as the most drastic potential measure which further includes fresh sanctions on Putin’s inner circle and on Russian energy producers.
The Kremlin has of course vehemently rejected the Ukraine threat accusations, saying it’s free to move its own troops wherever it sees fit within the Russian Federation’s sovereign territory and borders.
But the White House is now threatening the following, according to CNN on Monday:
People familiar with the discussions said new economic sanctions could target a variety of sectors, including energy producers and Russian banks. The new sanctions could also go after Russia’s sovereign debt.
They are also likely to go after top Russian oligarchs, limiting their ability to travel and potentially cutting off access to American banking and credit card systems.
And in particular, the “nuclear option” – which is now grabbing headlines…
Officials have also been weighing disconnecting Russia from the SWIFT international payment system, upon which Russia remains heavily reliant, according to two sources familiar with the discussions. This is being considered a “nuclear” option. The European Parliament passed a nonbinding resolution in the spring calling for such a move should Russia invade Ukraine, and the US has been discussing it with EU counterparts.
On Russia’s side, it has the “energy option” vis-a-vis Europe – something that the US has long warned the EU about, especially when it comes to the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline coming online.
“The fear is Russia then tries to retaliate by holding back production,” a top US official told CNN.
NEW: "Pretty damn aggressive" sanctions package in works by US & Europe should Russia invade Ukraine, sources say. 1 option "very much on the table": disconnecting Russia from SWIFT intl payment system & denying Russian energy producers from debt markets. https://t.co/HGwd5H6Upt
— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) December 6, 2021
“We have put together a pretty damn aggressive package,” an unnamed administration official additionally said to CNN, adding further that if Russia invades Ukraine “the US and Europe together will impose the worst economic sanctions that have ever been imposed on a country, outside of Iran and North Korea,” according to the report.
It should be noted that with such an “option” in play, if things actually escalated to the historically unprecedented level of Russia’s being blocked from SWIFT – such a scenario would mark a huge future day for cryptos, given cryptos have been suggested as the first space Putin would likely migrate to amid total isolation for the West-based payment system used by banks around the world.
READ MORE UKRAINE NEWS AT: 21st Century Wire Ukraine Files
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