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Andrew_McKIllop-2Andrew McKillop
21st Century Wire

As the latest round of hopeless peace talks over Syria gets underway today, none of the western geniuses want to take into account the fundamental geographic problems facing most countries in the Middle East.

The political problems are pretty obvious to anyone outside of the Washington DC reality bubble. Western involvement in any peace negotiations almost ensures that these talks will fail.

The US are a particularly dishonest broker – for obvious reasons. It’s a bit like allowing the mafia to referee a title boxing match. This was evidenced by John Kerry’s failure this morning during his righteous speech, to admit how his own government has been flooding Syria with weapons, mercenaries and other special forces training rebel fighters over the borders of Jordan and Turkey – for the last two years.

Chief among the geographic genetic disorders, however, is that fact the region is constantly in turmoil because Britain, France and the US, have created all of these artificial borders and unnatural nation-states during the 20th century. It’s like Dr. Frankenstein complaining because his creation is still not house-broken. 

Taming the situation in Syria, or Libya for that matter, cannot be achieved so long as the old colonial powers continue to bark from their crumbling 21st century ivory towers. Still, closet-colonial ‘experts’ bark on…

Stratfor’s Deliberate Mix and Mingle

Writing for Stratfor, one of its leading analysts, Reva Bhalla, probably feels obliged to mix fact and fiction, news and opinions, to offer us a “deeper understanding” of the Syrian civil war. He for example kicked off his recent-published Stratfor Geopolitical Weekly article on Syria with the question of why, after the UN invited Iran to participate in the coming Jan 22 meeting in Switzerland, aimed at a possible settlement within rebel factions, as well as between them – and the Syrian regime of al-Assad, the Syrian rebel representatives could so quickly and successfully push for the Iran offer to be rescinded.

Not in any way wanting to demean Mr Bhalla, it can be argued that his Stratfor briefing is best summarized, or totally replaced by one single chart Stratfor included:

Bhalla asks, naively or not, disingenuously or otherwise why such an inauspicious start for a diplomatic settlement should not also mean a settlement is impossible. Why should any effort ever prove fruitful? He only has to look at the chart above, included in the article under his name!

Deep Scepticism

Stratfor provides us a well-padded mix and mingle, and essentially comes to no conclusions. It also provides plenty of plain old factual errors, but this is not really important – because we already know that “Syria” as a nation state with a national identity and national history never, ever existed. Should we be surprised, let alone concerned that a non-nation is at this moment disappearing? Or maybe we should call Ghostbusters to help remove the phantom?


There are good reasons for deep skepticism, which Stratfor is obliged to at least partly cite. Syrian President Bashr al-Assad’s forces continue their three-year fight to recover ground against the increasingly fratricidal rebel forces engaged in a “turf war” scrumdown with occasional billed and paid photo opportunities, for Paris Match and Der Spiegel, and other leading newsmags, of village beheadings in the open air. The rebel rabble is backed by Sunni Saudi Arabia and its Gulf state neighbors also ruled by minority Sunni regimes, and opposed by Shia Iran and Putin’s Russia.

Arms vendors, like France, have hurried to get their hands on the petrodollars falling from the Saudi banquet table, to keep the body-count high, and profit for as long as oil prices remain at unreal and unrealistic highs. The arms business is strictly business for the French, “the country which invented Human Rights”.

The big deal, we are told, is that Bashr al-Assad will “concede power to sectarian rivals at the behest of Washington”. This is made (very) theoretically more likely by the United States already negotiating with Iran. An old classmate of al-Assad’s from his London days as an ophthalmology student, Ali Haidar, formerly an anti-Assad “loyal opposition” figure, and now Syria’s minister for National Reconciliation, however told news wires that Geneva-anything, whether I, II, III or X could never solve the Syrian crisis.

Bhalla reported him as adding that, only “military triumph of the state” will prevail.

FREEDOM FIGHTERS?  Many professional killers have found work in the new Syria.

Widespread pessimism, like the doctrine of “endism” is chic and fitting in a period of cultural degeneracy, political inertia and a refusal to ever act – until crisis point is reached and exceeded –  which for Syria means a return to what it has always meant. Over the few decades it ever existed as a pseudo-nation state – this meant that internecine fighting had to take place. Never mentioned by Bhalla in his Stratfor briefing, the age-old cult status of the Alpha Male freedom fighter and clan defender is alive and well in what is temporarily called “Syria”.

Whether Hezbollah, Druze, Kurd, Palestinian or any other faction-player, the recognition of a Central State and Nation is anathema. It does not exist. The Alawite recognition of Damascene power by al-Assad is only, and strictly due… to benefits received. Nothing else.

Syrian Geopolitics

Under this heading, Bhalla for Stratfor goes much too far in casually ignoring the real world. Firstly Stratfor ignores the deep-seated will to fight. Also, western organizations like Stratfor or analysts published by organizations like Stratfor, feel able to ignore that local internecine fighting has a solid economic basis and well over 1000 long years of tradition.

The French term for the region – ‘The Levant’ – was coined to signal the fertile, growing, crop raising, agricultural, viticultural and oleaginous richness of the region in Antiquity and today. With the Roman Empire, for example, the region always ran a trade surplus. Today it can pay for the AK47, grenade launchers and Toyota Hilux of its internecine fighters, defending their turf to the total exclusion, and to the death of all others.

The hand wringing plea by Bhalla is that inability to end the fighting leads to the forced conclusion “that Syria is doomed either to break into sectarian stateletts or, as Ali Haidar articulated, revert to the status quo”. Under this very improbable status quo scenario, the Alawites would regain full control and the Sunnis and everybody else would be forced back into submission.

Bhalla has to admit this is a ludicrous lame duck conclusion. He says both scenarios are “flawed”. He says that just as international mediators will fail to produce a power-sharing agreement at this stage, and just as Syria’s ruling Alawite minority will face extraordinary difficulty in gluing the state back together, there is “no easy way to carve up Syria along sectarian lines”. Goodbye Syria!

Before the 1916 Sykes-Picot Agreement traced out an impossible or at best “awkward assortment” of new nation-states in the Middle East, the name “Syria” only referred to a stretch of land enclosed by the Taurus Mountains to the north, the Mediterranean to the west, the Sinai Peninsula to the south, and the Arabian desert to the east. The very weak, even laughable arguments advanced by Bhalla for Stratfor that “Syria” has a reason to exist are forced to cite the Hellenistic Seleucid dynasty, based in the city of Antioch (today in Turkey) from about 300 to 140 BC. Another brief and fleeting existence for any entity somewhat comparable to the “Syria” of today, during the Umayyad Caliphate, was based on Damascus from AD 661 to 749.

Not a Rogue State but Non-Nation

Stratfor is not in the business of admitting reality, so the simple fact Syria never existed is not cited. We are however told that Syria was “often divided or subsumed by its neighbors”, because as a nation it was too weak, or too fragmented, or too vulnerable to exist. This is admitted by Bhalla to be the fatal role of a “borderland” with no hinterland or center. A frontier state between other states – which in the Sykes-Picot world never really existed.

We are told by Stratfor about the obsession of Syrian leaders, in the few decades the nation was forced to exist, about its lack of coastline and the need for a large coastline “to participate in sea trade and guard against (maritime) powers”. This is an argument that does not seem to persuade Putin’s Russia with its not-large but highly symbolic Tartus naval base on the Mediterranean coast – in Syria for as long as it exists! Obligatorily cited by Stratfor and other analysts, Russia has a plain and simple reason to want the country to exist – for its geopolitical projection into “the warm sea” of the eastern Mediterranean.

Stratfor is forced to acknowledge one major factor making it very, very difficult for any outside power to “get rid of Syria”.

It explains that Syria’s long and extremely narrow coastline transforms into an abrupt chain of mountains and isolated plateaux. This is a breeding ground for age-old mini-nations intent on staying that way. The plateaux are home to pockets of minorities, including Alawites, Christians, Kurds and Druze – not forgetting the Alawite heretic Assassins (http://www.outremer.co.uk/assassins.html) – all of them having a marked traditional hostility towards any outsiders from the Mediterranean west, and any would-be local rulers to the east. These mini-nations were and are always ready to collaborate and bargain with any force or group which can guarantee their prosperity and survival.

Whenever needed – and for decades – they can hunker down and keep their powder dry. Whether the French colonists, Israeli aggressors or al-Assad’s Damascus totalitarian regime, it has always been impossible for them to beat the Mountain Fighters.

Stratfor, for reasons we could call “diplomatic and historical niceties” treats the Sykes-Picot era, and the Versailles Treaty series of negotiations of 1917-23 which “carved up” the ex-Ottoman Empire with an eye to oil resources known at the time, as historically serious, and not a game of influence trading between a large range of powers and factions. Necessarily, the fleeting agreements and resolutions on future nation states in the region, made in 1917-23, were sooner or later denied and rejected by the powers and factions that agreed them, over 90 years ago.

Syria was a classic example of this influence trading. From the moment the French took Mandate power over the country they tried to create, they were opposed on the ground, by the armed factions and groups who considered they were unrightful losers – and knew what to do about it!

The City State

Heresy to the al-Assad regime, of course, one of the few solution to the Syrian crisis is to revert to the historical City-State model. This model was in fact the origin of Damascus and its comfortable, mostly peaceful economic wherewithal, for centuries. Set in the desert oasis of the river Barada, Damascus is protected by two mountain chains and long stretches of desert to the east, easy to defend as a city state and trade center. For almost all of its existence, it was a city state.

Damascus is essentially a fortress city and a logical place to make the capital – of a limited and logical hinterland. In the Sykes-Picot world this was not enough. Damascus, to be a capital worthy of regional respect, needed a land corridor running across the mountains to the Mediterranean ports along the ancient Phoenician and modern-day Lebanese coast, and a northward route across the semi-arid steppes, to Aleppo – already a continuously claimed Turkish city, for centuries.

For analysts like Bhalla of Stratfor, the disputed territory is “relatively fluid territory, making it an eas(y) place for a homogenous population to coalesce”, but this contradicts all reality on the ground. Aleppo sits at the mouth of the Fertile Crescent, and was always a natural trade corridor between Anatolia to the north, the Mediterranean to the west and Damascus to the south. The ‘Versailles Series’ (aka Versailles Treatment), by bundling Aleppo into an imaginary nation-state, was a red rag to a range of well-armed and determined local “players”.

Aleppo, and linked city states like Homs have historically been always vulnerable to Anatolian Turkish power, and always used this fact to play ally-or-rebel with and against the Damascus city-state. Apart from the coastal strip, which is all “Syria” means, lies vast stretches of desert, forming a wasteland between Syria and Mesopotamian Iraq. This desert has long been traveled by small, nomadic bands of men — from Bedouin caravan traders to contemporary jihadist bands from the urban ghettos of Europe – traveling light with no big ambitions.

The US Are Really Not Interested

The above-cited Stratfor briefing is able, here and there, to actually say this. It does not call this a new American “shale oil insight” driven by increasing energy independence of the US, nor explain that even during the Versailles Treaty series of 1917-23, on several occasions, the US either boycotted the conference that was under way, or published a dissenting and opposing memorandum to what was decided by other participants.

Several of them, like Japan, had little or no real national interest in the carve up of the ex-Ottoman Empire. They were only grandstanding.

At the time the US was a net exporter of oil. Why would it be vitally interested in oil resource endowments and production potentials in the region? Other than oil, what was the vital interest of the region, for external powers?

From the start of the series, both pre-revolutionary and post-revolutionary Russia opposed the treaty series and the all-new nations that were cobbled. Turkey opposed the series so violently they directly sparked the Young Turks revolution, and could very easily have led to Turkey relaunching World War I by repudiating all armistice treaties and agreements. Italy considered it was so cheated and short-changed by the series that national opinion – seeking revenge – was primed for Mussolini’s internal fascist revolution and takeover.

All regional affected political entities, notably in future Syria, Iraq, Jordan and Egypt rejected the Versailles Treaty series. Jewish militants in the future Israel rejected the series too. The Palestinians rejected the treaty series. Iran rejected the series. The Kurds violently rejected the series. The Druze refused to take any part in the conferences – and so on.

Today, we are told by Stratfor that a leftover-hangover from that period – called Syria – must be saved or protected. Why is this?

If Syrians want to keep their state, then let them. How long they can hold it together is another matter.

This is, and will remain the fundamental problem with all of the artificial British-Franco-American creations. Sooner or later, the world will have to face up to reality.

READ MORE SYRIA NEWS AT: 21st Century Wire Syria Files



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  • et Setera

    ‘If Syrians want to keep their state, then let them. How long they can hold it together is another matter’. Well, they seemed to be doing a pretty good job before our PTB and their attack dogs set about decimating Syria. When citizens of a middle east country successfully work together as one secular nation, despite cultural and religious variations, it seems our leaders cannot leave them alone to expunge the toxic legacy of past foreign interventions. Under Assad, Syria was fertile and productive. It embraced those dispossessed by outside forces, and rejected the usury and meddling of these forces also. (i.e. GMO food) Assad’s father even banned Coca-cola, according to the ‘Syrian Girl’ blogger, and the country made its own alternative version. Bashar Al Assad’s biggest mistake was to trust western governments, presumably his education in London lulled him into this. There is a photograph of him with Blair, before the latest nation smashing operation got going in earnest – hard to imagine Assad senior posing with such an odious reptile.

    • nofearorfavor

      “Under Assad, Syria was fertile and productive. It embraced those
      dispossessed by outside forces, and rejected the usury and meddling of
      these forces also. (i.e. GMO food) Assad’s father even banned Coca-cola,
      according to the ‘Syrian Girl’ blogger, and the country made its own
      alternative version.”
      AGREE 100% – Same as Indira Gandhi did to Coca-Cola as well – threw them out of India and made their own kola! I can only add with sad irony, that unfortunately the world found out too late, that western governments were never trustworthy; that they only ever serve their own hidden and corrupt agenda. One only has to look at what happened in Africa in the past and again is happening now! Even the Ukraine now is not left alone! Freemason cult of 85, aiming to rule our planet and control humankind. But it will never happen. The Power of the People has at last come alive and these Zio sociopaths will not get away with their rape, murder and plunder of sovereign countries any longer. Americans today have woken up too and the majority of them no longer trust their useless greedy fascist government, run by the Zionists in Israel.

    • nofearorfavor

      Oh sorry, just re-read your comment… you are not Syrian, but you are very objective and straight and on top of what is happening in Syria.

      • et Setera

        No worries, in a sense we ordinary people are all Syrians now in that we identify strongly with their struggle against aggression and interference. The difference between them and us is that they have a leader who is with them in this struggle, whereas our leaders (UK, US, etc) are the ones creating the chaos. These in turn are ruled by those whose motto is ‘Order out of Chaos’. I really wish that a petition signed by thousands of people would have the power to give justice to Syria, but since finding out that Avaaz is a tool of George Soros it has lost credibility for me. It is a classic trick of TPTB, to suck in decent people through deceit. Having supported the ‘Stop the War’ coalition, some of its recent activities lead me to agree with Patrick Henningsen. He has questioned where this organisation is going, in that the million strong march against the Iraq war has not been followed up effectively.
        You are absolutely right that the Power of the People has come alive, that is what stopped the cruise missile attack on Syria last summer. I believe ‘The People’s Voice’ internet channel which started last November is going to be very effective in promoting fairness for all, it and other organisations such as ’21st century Wire’ are an unstoppable force for good. Having said that, we had better stop taking up their page space. God Bless, hope to see you on the TPV forum on the David Icke website!

  • nofearorfavor

    Don’t tell Syrians their country never existed!! No matter how their future unfolds, they love Syria and as a sovereign country, although run by a government and a president, the quality of both which are under internal dispute. However as et Setera said below, it is for Syrians to determine their future.

    The UN should insist the foreign saboteur terrorists paid for and supplied by Saudi and Qatar as well as the US, should get the hell out of Syria immediately. With Iran and the UN and possibly Russia, sitting down together with Al Assad and other genuine Syrian Freedom Fighters, an inclusive solution would result. Pres Assad himself said that if he loses the next election, he will be content to step down.

    No, it is clear that what is occurring here, smacks to high heaven of greed and corruption by outsiders who should get lost! These evil forces continue desperately to plot Syria’s downfall with the aim of destroying it to such an extent, that another Libya type takeover is possible with the same tragic results for the indigenous people of Syria as is currently happening in Libya.

    Hardly any of the world’s leaders today uphold human rights or care about the pain and suffering they meet out to innocent civilians caught up in their debauched and barbaric warmongering!

    But the Winds of Change are sweeping our beautiful Planet and woe betide those, who currently hold themselves as invincible, as they themselves will suffer far worse than those they’d made to suffer through their despicable actions of arrogance and filthy greed.

    • et Setera

      Thank you, nofearorfavour, for defending Syria’s right to exist with such passion. If it is true that we create our own reality, then the people of Syria and their leaders created real prosperity and progress in the mere fifty years since breaking free of colonial exploitation. A tiny chink of opposition to the country’s management under Mr. Assad, was wide enough to exploit by those of evil intent in our own governments. They began to channel in by the thousand the alien ‘rebels’ they were sponsoring in order to destroy Syria. The past two and a half years of this deliberate and long planned (PNAC) strategy of destabilisation has brought untold misery to the people, and it is only the leadership of Mr. Assad which gives them a common cause to rally round. He is the only true Syrian who can steer the citizens back on the path to their former peaceful and tolerant society, and he has said he will step down if he is then no longer their choice for leader. The ordinary decent people of the world know who is responsible for causing such devastation in Syria, our leaders must call off their paid killers and pay reparations to this Sovereign nation.

      • nofearorfavor

        Thanks for your response. Yes, every point you made above is correct. A blind man with a stick knows who is behind what is happening in Syria and that it is lethally corrupt. There are millions throughout the world who can see clearly that Pres Assad is being framed, being made another scapegoat to further the unholy interests of the globalists in the ME. Et Setera, I visited this page http://thevoiceofsyria.wordpress.com/about/comment-page-1/#comment-3, a while ago and although I can only leave words of encouragement there, I feel Syria needs every morsel of support from the international community. Please look at my letter, as I made a suggestion, which I think may help Syria and Pres al Assad. Do not know if you are Syrian, but even if you aren’t, you and your friends may be in the position to follow up on the suggestion as it is not difficult to do and free. Yet, I feel it has the power to create the big stir needed to bring about a change toward normality in Syria. May justice triumph for once in this world, which seems to be on the verge of becoming nothing but a cesspool of hatred and iniquity. None of us dare give up on what is honest and most importantly, the TRUTH. My meditations are with Syria and all the other places globally, which the globalists are bent on turning into hells on earth. Take care and may you always have the protection of the One wherever you go.

  • nofearorfavor

    One cannot but help to admire Al Assad, as thousands of Syrians do! He has shown himself as a man of mettle, has not allowed these foreign terrorists to overrun his country but alongside his armed forces, have stayed the course. Assad has been open with the UN, with the whole blasted world and was always available and reasonable and straightforward where and when he was interviewed. This man may not have been a perfect president for Syria before, but then, which country anywhere in the world has a perfect president?? An unselfish president who genuinely cares for his/her country and its people and to hell with the rest of the world?! Presidents like that are rare!! Looks like Pres Putin is one in the making and maybe Pres Rouhani too. Then why not Bashar al Assad??? He sure has not let the big shot countries brow beat him into submission. I can only say, “Long live Syria and the Syrian People and long live Pres al Assad!”